Creencias que fundamentan heurísticas y sesgos en la toma de decisiones financieras

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.main##

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.sidebar##

Publicado 31-05-2023
Claudine Moya-Ponce
Pilar Madrazo-Lemaroy

Resumen

La heurística y los sesgos son resultado del pensamiento intuitivo que, a partir de intuiciones, sentimientos e impresiones, surgen como creencias una vez que son procesados a través del pensamiento analítico. En el presente trabajo examinamos las creencias que fundamentan heurísticas y sesgos en la toma de decisiones financieras, a través de 31 entrevistas a jóvenes mexicanos de clase socio-económica alta. Encontramos que la desconfianza es la causa común de decisiones como: invertir en otro país, evitar el comportamiento de manada y solo escuchar a asesores profesionales de su contexto social. Prefieren las inversiones sustentables, no por congruencia con sus valores, sino por la creencia de que son menos riesgosas. Ahorran o invierten su dinero independientemente de su fuente. Dado que consideran que pedir prestado es vergonzoso, etiquetan a los prestamistas como inversionistas. Finalmente, presentamos opciones para futuras investigaciones, así como implicaciones para intervenciones educativas y proveedores de servicios financieros.

Cómo citar

Moya-Ponce, C., & Madrazo-Lemaroy, P. (2023). Creencias que fundamentan heurísticas y sesgos en la toma de decisiones financieras. Cuadernos De Gestión, 23(2), 69–80. https://doi.org/10.5295/cdg.221703pm
Abstract 372 | PDF (English) Downloads 213

##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.details##

Keywords

Heurísticas, Comportamiento de manada, Sesgo extranjero, Inversión sostenible, Asesores profesionales, México

References
Alyousif, M., & Kalenkoski, C. M. (2017). Who seeks financial advice? Financial Services Review, 26, 405-432. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2943159
AMAI, (2021) Niveles Socioeconómicos AMAI. Recovered 28 November 2021 from: https://www.amai.org/NSE/index.php.
Augier, M. (2004). March-ing towards “a behavioral theory of the firm”: James G. March and the early evolution of be-havioral organization theory. Management Decision, 28(1), 89-106. https://doi.org/10.1108/JMH-02-2021-0013
Baddeley, M. (2010). Herding, social influence and economic decision-making: socio-psychological and neuroscientific analyses. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 365(1538), 281-290. https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2009.0169
Bailey, W., Kumar, A., & Ng, D. (2008). Foreign investments of US individual investors: Causes and consequences. Management science, 54(3), 443-459. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1070.0793
Bapat, D. M. (2019). Segmenting young adults based on financial management behavior in India. International Journal of Bank Marketing, 38(2), 548-560. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJBM-01-2019-0016
Barberis, N., & Thaler, R. (2003). A survey of behavioral finance. Handbook of the Economics of Finance, 1, 1053-1128. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0102(03)01027-6
Beal, D. J., Goyen, M., & Philips, P. (2005). Why do we invest ethically? The Journal of Investing, 14(3), 66-78. https://doi.org/10.3905/joi.2005.580551
Beugelsdijk, S., & Frijns, B. (2010). A cultural explanation of the foreign bias in international asset allocation. Journal of Banking & Finance, 34(9), 2121-2131. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2010.01.020
Blasco, N., Corredor, P., & Ferreruela, S. (2017). Can agents sensitive to cultural, organizational, and environmental issues avoid herding? Finance Research Letters, 22, 114-121. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2017.01.006
Bondia, R., Biswal, P. C., & Panda, A. (2021). Investigating association between factors fostering attention to a stock and rationales to buy it: an empirical analysis. Review of Behavioral Finance, 14(5), 886-899. https://doi.org/10.1108/RBF-05-2021-0082
Bouri, E., Gupta, R., & Roubaud, D. (2019). Herding behaviour in cryptocurrencies. Finance Research Letters, 29, 216-221. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2018.07.008
Chan, J., & Kim, M. C. (2020). ESG Performance in Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Fixed Income in the Context of Home Bias. Lund University.
Chiang, T. C., & Zheng, D. (2010). An empirical analysis of herd behavior in global stock markets. Journal of Banking & Finance, 34(8), 1911-1921. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.12.014
Collins, J. M. (2012). Financial advice: A substitute for financial literacy? Financial Services Review, 21(4), 307.
Cooper, I. A., Sercu, P., & Vanpée, R. (2018). A measure of pure home bias. Review of Finance, 22(4), 1469-1514. https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfx005
Corbet, S., Lucey, B., & Yarovaya, L. (2018). Datestamping the Bitcoin and Ethereum bubbles. Finance Research Let-ters, 26, 81-88. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2017.12.006
Coronel-Pangol, K., Orden-Cruz, C., & Paule-Vianez, J. (2022). Bibliometric analysis of alternative financing for entre-preneurship. Cuadernos de Gestión, 22(2), 167-182. https://doi.org/10.5295/cdg.211559kc
Datta, S., & Mullainathan, S. (2014). Behavioral design: a new approach to development policy. Review of Income and Wealth, 60(1), 7-35. https://doi.org/10.1111/roiw.12093
Dodd, O., & Frijns, B. (2015). Cross-listing decisions and the foreign bias of investors. Finance Research Letters, 15, 160-166. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2015.09.006
Drever, A. I., Odders‐White, E., Kalish, C. W., Else‐Quest, N. M., Hoagland, E. M., & Nelms, E. N. (2015). Foundations of financial well‐being: Insights into the role of executive function, financial socialization, and experience‐based learning in childhood and youth. Journal of Consumer Affairs, 49(1), 13-38. https://doi.org/10.1111/joca.12068
Fernandes, D., Lynch Jr, J. G., & Netemeyer, R. G. (2014). Financial literacy, financial education, and downstream financial behaviors. Management Science, 60(8), 1861-1883. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2013.1849
Foerster, S., Linnainmaa, J. T., Melzer, B. T., & Previtero, A. (2017). Retail financial advice: does one size fit all? The Journal of Finance, 72(4), 1441-1482. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12514
Furnham, A. (1999). The saving and spending habits of young people. Journal of economic Psychology, 20(6), 677-697. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-4870(99)00030-6
Garcia, M. J. R. (2013). Financial education and behavioral finance: new insights into the role of information in financial decisions. Journal of economic surveys, 27(2), 297-315. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6419.2011.00705.x
Gennaioli, N., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. (2012). Neglected risks, financial innovation, and financial fragility. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(3), 452-468. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2011.05.005
Geranio, M., & Lazzari, V. (2019). Stress testing the equity home bias: A turnover analysis of Eurozone markets. Journal of International Money and Finance, 97, 70-85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2019.06.002
Gevlin, K. (2007). The coming of age of socially responsible investing. Financial Planning, 37(8), 56.
Gigerenzer, G., & Todd, P. M. (1999). Fast and frugal heuristics: The adaptive toolbox. In Simple heuristics that make us smart (pp. 3-34). Oxford University Press.
Hanson, T. A., & Kalthoff, J. (2019). Financial literacy, naïve diversification, and security selection. Journal of Applied Financial Research, 1, 69-86.
Hershfield, H. E., Goldstein, D. G., Sharpe, W. F., Fox, J., Yeykelis, L., Carstensen, L. L., & Bailenson, J. N. (2011). Increasing saving behavior through age-progressed renderings of the future self. Journal of Marketing Research, 48(SPL), S23-S37.
Hoepner, A. G. F., Oikonomou, I., Sautner, Z., Starks, L. T., & Zhou, X. (2018). ESG Shareholder Engagement and Downside Risk. AFA 2018 Paper. Retrieved from https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2874252 (accessed on 12 December 2022).
Hofmann, W., Schmeichel, B. J., & Baddeley, A. D. (2012). Executive functions and self-regulation. Trend in Cognitive Sciences, 16(3), 174-180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tics.2012.01.006
Hofstede, G., Hofstede, G. J., & Minkov, M. (2010). Cultures and organizations: Software of the Mind (Third Ed.). Mcgraw-hill.
Horenstein, A. R., & Snir, A. (2017). Portfolio choice in Mexico. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 16, 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2017.08.001
Howard, J. (2019). Bandwagon effect and authority bias. In Cognitive Errors and Diagnostic Mistakes (pp. 21-56). Springer International Publishing, Cham.
Hummels, H., & Timmer, D. (2004). Investors in need of social, ethical, and environmental information. Journal of Business Ethics, 52, 73-84. https://doi.org/10.1023/B:BUSI.0000033108.20321.f5
Jappelli, T., & Padula, M. (2013). Investment in financial literacy and saving decisions. Journal of Banking & Finance, 37(8), 2779-2792. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.03.019
Jones, B. (1999). Bounded rationality. Annual Review of Political Science, 2(1), 297-321. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.polisci.2.1.297
Kabir, M. H., & Shakur, S. (2018). Regime-dependent herding behavior in Asian and Latin American stock markets. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 47, 60-78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2017.12.002
Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, fast and slow. Macmillan.
Karolyi, A. G. (2016). Home bias, an academic puzzle. Review of Finance, 20(6), 2049-2078. https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfw007
Kellner, R., & Rösch, D. (2019). A country specific point of view on international diversification. Journal of International Money and Finance, 98, 102064. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2019.102064
King, P. M., & Kitchener, K. S. (2015). Cognitive development in the emerging adult: The emergence of complex cognitive skills. In The Oxford Handbook of Emerging Adulthood, (pp. 105-125). Oxford University Press.
Kirchler, M., Lindner, F., & Weitzel, U. (2020). Delegated investment decisions and rankings. Journal of Banking & Finance, 120, 105952. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2020.105952
Kleka, P., Brycz, H., Fanslau, A., & Pilarska, A. (2019). Becoming Aware of One's Own Biases in Emerging Adulthood-A Longitudinal Study. Metacognitive Approach. Advances in Cognitive Psychology, 15(4), 308. https://doi.org/10.5709/acp-0278-y
Koehler, D., & Harvey, N. (2008). Blackwell handbook of judgment and decision making. John Wiley & Sons.
Kramer, M. M. (2016). Financial literacy, confidence and financial advice seeking. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 131, 198-217. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2016.08.016
Kvale, S., & Brinkmann, S. (2018). Doing interviews. SAGE Publications Ltd. http://digital.casalini.it/9781526426093
Labroo, A. A., & Pocheptsova, A. (2017). What makes tomorrow’s gain worth today’s pain? Cognitive and affective influences on self-control dilemmas. In C. V. Jansson-Baird, & M. J. Zawisza (Eds.), Routledge International Handbook of Consumer Psychology (pp. 447-466). London: Routledge.
Lacalle, D. (2020). The Importance of Profit and Sound Financing in Socially Responsible Investment. Journal of Business Accounting and Finance Perspective, 2(2), 1-11. https://doi.org/10.35995/jbafp2020011
Larrick, R. (2008). Debiasing. In D. J. Koehler & N. Harvey (Eds.), Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Ma-king. Malden, MA: Blackwell.
Layton, M.D. & Moreno, A. (2014). Philanthropy and social capital in Mexico. International Journal of Nonprofit and Voluntary Sector Marketing, 19(3), 209-219. https://doi.org/10.1002/nvsm.1498
Layton, M. D., & Mossel, V. (2015). Giving in Mexico: Generosity, distrust and informality. The Palgrave Handbook of Global Philanthropy, 64-87. https://doi.org/ 10.1057/9781137341532_5
Lipman, B. L. (1995). Information processing and bounded rationality: a survey. Canadian Journal of Economics, 42-67. https://doi.org/10.2307/136022
Loang, O. K., & Ahmad, Z. (2021). Does volatility mediate the impact of analyst recommendations on herding in Malay-sian stock market? Economics and Business Review, 7(4), 54-71. https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2021.4.4
Lusardi, A., Mitchell, O. S., & Curto, V. (2010). Financial literacy among the young. Journal of consumer affairs, 44(2), 358-380. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-6606.2010.01173.x
Mandell, L., & Klein, L. S. (2009). The impact of financial literacy education on subsequent financial behavior. Journal of Financial Counseling and Planning, 20(1), 15-24. https://ssrn.com/abstract=2224231
McLachlan, J., & Gardner, J. (2004). A comparison of socially responsible and conventional investors. Journal of Busi-ness Ethics, 52(1), 11-25. https://doi.org/10.1023/B:BUSI.0000033104.28219.92
Mishra, A. V. (2015). Measures of equity home bias puzzle. Journal of Empirical Finance, 34, 293-312. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2015.08.001
Morgan, P. J. & Trinh, L. Q. (2019). Fintech and Financial Literacy in the Lao PDR (ADBI Working Paper 933). Tokyo: Asian Development Bank Institute. https://www.adb.org/publications/fintech-and-financial-literacy-lao-pdr
Mushinada, V. N. C., & Veluri, V. S. S. (2019). Elucidating investors rationality and behavioural biases in Indian stock market. Review of Behavioral Finance, 11(2), 201-219. https://doi.org/ 10.1108/RBF-04-2018-0034
O'Curry, S., & Strahilevitz, M. (2001). Probability and mode of acquisition effects on choices between hedonic and utilitarian options. Marketing Letters, 12(1), 37-49. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008115902904
O'Donoghue, T., & Rabin, M. (2015). Present bias: Lessons learned and to be learned. American Economic Review, 105(5), 273-79. http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/aer.p20151085
Pasewark, W. R., & Riley, M. E. (2010). It’s a matter of principle: The role of personal values in investment decisions. Journal of Business Ethics, 93(2), 237-253. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10551-009-0218-6
Peng, T. C. M., Bartholomae, S., Fox, J. J., & Cravener, G. (2007). The impact of personal finance education delivered in high school and college courses. Journal of Family and Economic Issues, 28(2), 265-284. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10834-007-9058-7
Pikulina, E., Renneboog, L., & Tobler, P. N. (2017). Overconfidence and investment: An experimental approach. Journal of Corporate Finance, 43, 175-192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2017.01.002
Ramalho, T. B., & Forte, D. (2019). Financial literacy in Brazil-do knowledge and self-confidence relate with behavior? RAUSP Management Journal, 54, 77-95. https://doi.org/10.1108/RAUSP-04-2018-0008
Reynolds, T. J., & Gutman, J. (1988). Laddering theory, method, analysis, and interpretation. Journal of Advertising Research, 28(1), 11-31.
Rimal, R. N., & Real, K. (2005). How behaviors are influenced by perceived norms: A test of the theory of normative social behavior. Communication Research, 32, 389-414. https://doi.org/10.1177/0093650205275385
Robb, A. M., & Robinson, D. T. (2014). The capital structure decisions of new firms. The Review of Financial Studies, 27(1), 153-179. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhs072
Roth, A. (1995). Introduction to experimental economics. The handbook of experimental economics, 1, 3-109. https://doi.org/10.1515/9780691213255-003
Sahi, S. K., Arora, A. P., & Dhameja, N. (2013). An exploratory inquiry into the psychological biases in financial invest-ment behavior. Journal of behavioral finance, 14(2), 94-103. https://doi.org/10.1080/15427560.2013.790387
Sam, Y. T., Geetha, C., & Mohidin, R. (2012). What were the factors that influence financial management behavior of undergraduates? International Journal of Business Trends and Technology, 2(1), 2249-0183.
Sandberg, J., Juravle, C., Hedesström, T. M., & Hamilton, I. (2009). The heterogeneity of socially responsible invest-ment. Journal of Business Ethics, 87(4), 519-533. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10551-008-9956-0
Slovic, P., Fischhoff, B., & Lichtenstein, S. (1997). Behavioral decision theory. Annual Review of Psychology, 28(1), 1-39. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.ps.28.020177.000245
Sparkes, R. (2003). Socially responsible investment: A global revolution. John Wiley & Sons.
Spyrou, S. (2013). Herding in financial markets: a review of the literature. Review of Behavioral Finance, 5(2), 175-194. https://doi.org/10.1108/RBF-02-2013-0009
Stolper, O. A., & Walter, A. (2017). Financial literacy, financial advice, and financial behavior. Journal of Business Eco-nomics, 87(5), 581-643. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11573-017-0853-9
Sunstein, C. R. (2005). Laws of fear: beyond the precautionary principle. Cambridge University. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511790850 Press.
Teigen, K. H., & Keren, G. (2007). Waiting for the bus: When base-rates refuse to be neglected. Cognition, 103(3), 337-357. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2006.03.007
Thaler, R. H. (1999). Mental accounting matters. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 12(3), 183-206. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1099-0771(199909)12:3<183::AID-BDM318>3.0.CO;2-F
Thaler, R. H., & Shefrin, H. M. (1981). An economic theory of self-control. Journal of Political Economy, 89(2), 392-406.
Thaler, R. H., & Sunstein C. R. (2008). Nudge: Improving decisions about health, wealth, and happiness. Yale University Press. ISBN 978-0-300-12223-7
Thomas, R. M. (2003). Blending qualitative and quantitative research methods in theses and dissertations. Corwin Press.
Topor, F. S. (2020). Managerial Ethics and the Function of Culture in Mexico and the United States. In Examining Ethics and Intercultural Interactions in International Relations (pp. 53-82). IGI Global. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-7998-2377-3.ch003
Tykocinski, O. E., & Pittman, T. S. (2013). Money imbued with essence: How we preserve, invest, and spend inherited money. Basic and Applied Social Psychology, 35(6), 506-514. https://doi.org/10.1080/01973533.2013.840635
Vukman, K. B. (2005). Developmental differences in metacognition and their connections with cognitive development in adulthood. Journal of Adult Development, 12(4), 211-221. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10804-005-7089-6
Weyman, A., Wainwright, D., O’Hara, R., Jones, P., & Buckingham, A. (2012). Extending working life: Behaviour change interventions. London, Department for Work and Pensions. http://research.dwp.gov.uk/asd/asd5/rrs-index.asp
Wiencke, E., Madrazo-Lemarroy, P., & Reyna, L. E. (2019). How do investors invest in crowd-investing? A qualitative study in Mexico. International Entrepreneurship Review, 5(4), 77-91. https://doi.org/10.15678/IER.2019.0504.05
Williams, G. (2007). Some determinants of the socially responsible investment decision: A cross-country study. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 8(1), 43-57. https://doi.org/10.1080/15427560709337016
Sección
Artículos